Ongoing emissions from
… aviation growth
• The World Cup was meant to be carbon‑neutral. FIFA hasn’t released the figures, so we built a computer model to check
https://theconversation.com/the-world-cup-was-meant-to-be-carbon-neutral-fifa-hasnt-released-the-figures-so-we-built-a-computer-model-to-check-283580
• 2026 UK Aviation Forecast
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a33fea9c6e94f095f3efa8a/2026-uk-aviation-forecast.pdf
• Climate change is existential threat to aviation, says Heathrow executive
https://www.aol.com/articles/climate-change-existential-threat-aviation-070000000.html
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/07/04/climate-change-threat-to-humanity-says-heathrow-executive/
… airport expansions
• Can airport really go carbon neutral amid plans to expand flights?
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c78gljynx3xo
• Qantas strikes 15-year deal with Melbourne Airport to back $4.5b terminal expansion and third runway
https://share.google/QcRhHat4ke8g9kGoV
… greenwashed fuels and engines
On a planet already dangerously hot, just stopping new emissions won’t make us safe. The CO2 already in the atmosphere must also be cut. So using existing CO2 — whether in plants (biofuel), in waste, or via Direct Air Capture combined with hydrogen electrically extracted from water (e-fuels) — to create new CO2 emissions, the so called net zero, carbon neutral technologies and pathways, is totally counterproductive. As are offsets for the same reason.
‘SUSTAINABLE’ AVIATION FUELS
The aviation industry uses marketing greenwash and accounting tricks to mislead you into thinking that actual flight emissions from ‘Sustainable’ Aviation Fuel (SAF) are a fraction of those from fossil jet fuel. A jet never burns pure SAF, so a common 50:50 blend with fossil jet fuel doubles claimed emissions. And actual flight CO2 emissions are additionally more than claimed, by the amount of CO2 drawn down in making the fuel. Furthermore SAF still creates non-CO2 emissions twice as warming as actual flight CO2 emissions.
• Government commits $32 million to turn forestry waste into Australian-made jet fuel
https://thedriven.io/2026/07/22/government-commits-32m-to-turn-forestry-waste-into-australian-made-jet-fuel/
• SAF and net zero
https://asianaviation.com/posts/saf-and-net-zero
• Bridging the green gap for aviation and heavy industry
https://sheffield.ac.uk/research/bridging-green-gap-aviation-and-heavy-industry
• Airlines Face a $48 Billion Green Squeeze
https://www.esgtoday.com/airlines-face-a-48-billion-green-squeeze/
• South Korea Bets Big On Ethanol-Based SAF For Aviation: How This Echoes India’s Biofuel Breakthroughs
https://www.news18.com/world/south-korea-bets-big-on-ethanol-based-saf-for-aviation-how-this-echoes-indias-biofuel-breakthroughs-10190444.html
• EU council lets oil expansion qualify for sustainable funds
https://www.forbes.com/sites/we-dont-have-time/2026/07/04/eu-council-lets-oil-expansion-qualify-for-sustainable-funds/
• Sustainable Aviation Fuel at a Crossroads: Why Energy Security and Decarbonization Have Become the Same Conversation
https://www.morganlewis.com/blogs/powerandpipes/2026/07/sustainable-aviation-fuel-at-a-crossroads
• The moment appears ripe for sustainable aviation fuels, but the market’s still hedging
https://corporateknights.com/issues/2026-best-50-issue/the-moment-appears-ripe-for-sustainable-aviation-fuels-but-the-markets-still-hedging/
• EU ETS aviation rules should be tweaked to close SAF cost gap
https://carbon-pulse.com/530244/
• China can turn plastic waste to jet fuel at a low cost: study
https://amp.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3360878/china-can-turn-plastic-waste-jet-fuel-low-cost-study
• Airbus unveils study on the potential of sustainable aviation fuel to support economic growth and accelerate Canada’s climate transition
https://www.airbus.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2026-07-airbus-unveils-study-on-the-potential-of-sustainable-aviation-fuel-to-support-economic-growth-and
• Airbus Unveils Study On The Potential Of SAF To Support Economic Growth And Accelerate Canada’s Climate Transition
https://biomassmagazine.com/articles/airbus-unveils-study-on-the-potential-of-saf-to-support-economic-growth-and-accelerate-canadas-climate-transition
• Decarbonizing the future of aviation
https://nesource.ch/en/solutions/air/
• Government eyes SAF blending in aviation fuel targets 5% by 2030
https://bioenergytimes.com/government-eyes-saf-blending-in-aviation-fuel-targets-5-by-2030/
• Minister says SAF significantly reduces lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions vs ATF
https://www.chinimandi.com/parliament-question-minister-says-saf-significantly-reduces-lifecycle-greenhouse-gas-emissions-vs-atf/
• A pathway to support the expected demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel
https://www.canadianbiomassmagazine.ca/a-pathway-to-support-the-expected-demand-for-sustainable-aviation-fuel-saf/
• Targeting sustainable aviation fuel at a handful of major airports could deliver outsized climate and health benefits, new CATF analysis finds
https://www.catf.us/2026/07/targeting-sustainable-aviation-fuel-handful-major-airports-deliver-outsized-climate-health-benefits/
• Can flying ever really be sustainable?
https://atmos.earth/political-landscapes/can-flying-ever-really-be-sustainable/
• Fuel costs hit airline profits as energy companies post H1 gains
https://carbon-pulse.com/537577/?site=cpp
• From climate strategy to energy security — Building aviation’s SAF market
https://www.reuters.com/legal/legalindustry/climate-strategy-energy-security-building-aviations-saf-market–pracin-2026-07-30/
e-Fuel
• Bill Gates’ Breakthrough Energy Backs Low-Cost Synthetic Jet Fuel Platform Lydian
https://www.esgtoday.com/bill-gates-breakthrough-energy-backs-low-cost-synthetic-jet-fuel-platform-lydian/
… non-CO2 emissions
• High altitude testing of a 100% SAF-powered Gulfstream business jet shows significant non-CO2 benefits
https://www.greenairnews.com/?p=9308
… delusional scenarios
OFFSETS & CARBON CREDITS
When all sectors need to reduce their emissions to zero, the aviation industry buys/offsets the reductions of others in order to grow its own emissions. When the planet is already dangerously hot, offsets steal carbon drawdown needed to cool the planet to excuse further emissions.
• ASEAN could generate $8.5 billion in aviation carbon credits via CORSIA
https://energynews.pro/en/asean-could-generate-85-billion-in-aviation-carbon-credits-via-corsia
• EU Drops Stricter Carbon Credit Rules For CORSIA Phase 1, But Maintains Tougher Standards For Phase 2
https://carbonherald.com/eu-drops-stricter-carbon-credit-rules-for-corsia-phase-1-but-maintains-tougher-standards-for-phase-2/
• International flights set to pay carbon costs under EU’s carbon market review from 2029
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/07/17/international-flights-set-to-pay-carbon-costs-under-eus-carbon-market-review-from-2029
• Airline emissions bills and carbon credits for investment dominate revamp of EU’s labyrinthine emissions scheme
https://euobserver.com/229161/airline-emissions-bills-and-carbon-credits-for-investment-dominate-revamp-of-eus-labyrinthine-emissions-scheme/
• ICAO statement on proposed expanded scope of EU Emission Trading System
https://www.icao.int/news/icao-statement-proposed-expanded-scope-eu-emission-trading-system
• EU Emissions Trading System
https://www.ainonline.com/compliance/europe-eu-emissions-trading-system
• U.S.-EU Aviation Carbon-price Battle Ahead?
https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/u-s-eu-aviation-carbon-price-battle-ahead/
• International carbon trading: a strategic lever to boost global decarbonisation
https://www.bruegel.org/policy-brief/international-carbon-trading-strategic-lever-boost-global-decarbonisation
Reporting emissions
• Court bars Lufthansa from using certain CO2 claim in advertising
https://www.marketscreener.com/news/court-bars-lufthansa-from-using-certain-co2-claim-in-advertising-ce7f5ed9db81fe27
• Indirect greenhouse gas emissions: Air Travel
https://www.canada.ca/en/treasury-board-secretariat/services/innovation/greening-government/results-reporting/indirect-greenhouse-gas-emissions-introduction/air-travel.html
• We Must Standardize the Flight Emissions Data We Provide to Passengers
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/opinions/we-must-standardize-the-flight-emissions-data-we-provide-to-passengers/
• Assessing the applicability of the ICAO carbon emissions calculator at a Chinese plateau airport using operational data
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-026-64547-z
Reducing emissions
… too little
AIRFRAME REDESIGN
• The Tiny Fin You’ll Never Notice From Your Window Seat That Could Quietly Save Delta Air Lines Millions
https://simpleflying.com/tiny-fin-never-notice-window-seat-quietly-save-delta-air-lines-millions/
• Virgin Australia Secures $410M Green Aircraft Loan
https://esgnews.com/virgin-australia-secures-410m-green-aircraft-loan/
… too late
ELECTRIC FLIGHT
• Aviation’s hybrid moment has finally arrived
https://www.innovationnewsnetwork.com/aviations-hybrid-moment-has-finally-arrived/71098/
• Brainwaves: Cool operation makes all the difference in all-electric aircraft
https://www.thepost.co.nz/nz-news/361047534/brainwaves-cool-operation-makes-all-difference-all-electric-aircraft
HYDROGEN
• H2-Aero Symposium: An Industry-Academia-Government Push to Decarbonize Aviation and Airports with Hydrogen
https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/institute/h2-aero-symposium-an-industry-academia-government-push-to-decarbonize-aviation-and-airports-with-hydrogen/
• Tracking a flight path to a green aviation future
https://techxplore.com/news/2026-07-tracking-flight-path-green-aviation.html
• Adelaide University-led review outlines research gaps for hydrogen-powered aviation
https://smartcitiestech.io/2026/07/adelaide-university-led-review-outlines-research-gaps-for-hydrogen-powered-aviation
… indirectly
ADVERTISING BANS
• Around the globe governments are banning fossil fuel ads. What are Australian politicians waiting for?
https://thepoint.com.au/opinions/260727-around-the-globe-governments-are-banning-fossil-fuel-ads-what-are-australian-politicians-waiting-for
• Amsterdam bans public adverts for meat and fossil fuels
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9wejdekpwyo
The climate emergency
• Global Boiling
https://phenomenalworld.org/analysis/global-boiling/
• ‘I can’t work in the farce of climate change cruise tourism anymore’: Why Antarctic guides quit their dream jobs
https://phys.org/news/2026-07-farce-climate-cruise-tourism-anymore.html
