Ongoing emissions from
… aviation growth
MORE FLIGHTS
• Aviation emissions increase by 5.1% in 2025
https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/six-16-major-emitters-reduced-their-emissions-2025-2026-09-07_en
• Emissions Forecast: Traffic Growth Outpaces Fleet Renewal Improvements
https://www.iba.aero/resources/articles/emissions-forecast-traffic-growth-outpaces-fleet-renewal-improvements/
• Global aviation’s gross emissions to rise 87% by 2050 despite efficiency gains, forecasts IBA
https://www.greenairnews.com/?p=9579
• UK aviation emissions to be 50% higher than thought by 2050, government admits
https://www.carbonbrief.org/uk-aviation-emissions-to-be-50-higher-than-thought-by-2050-government-admits
• UK government raises 2050 aviation emissions forecast
https://carbon-pulse.com/549619/
AIRPORT EXPANSIONS
• Heathrow Airport expansion risks for the Climate Change Act
https://tyndall.ac.uk/news/heathrow-airport-expansion-risks-for-the-climate-change-act-how-growing-airport-capacity-before-climate-technologies-succeed-will-break-the-uks-carbon-budget/
• Heathrow expansion is ‘incompatible’ with UK climate targets- study finds
https://www.energylivenews.com/2026/09/04/heathrow-expansion-is-incompatible-with-uk-climate-targets-study-finds/
• Third Heathrow runway would see UK ‘overshoot’ climate targets, new report claims
https://www.lbc.co.uk/article/third-heathrow-uk-overshoot-climate-5Hjdgsk_2/
• Heathrow expansion plans should make airlines pay for CO2 removal, climate advisers say
https://traveltomorrow.com/heathrow-expansion-plans-should-make-airlines-pay-for-co2-removal-climate-advisers-say/
• Building energy-resilient airports for the future
https://www.turnerandtownsend.com/insights/building-energy-resilient-airports-for-the-future/
PRIVATE JETS
• Private jet boom raises climate concerns
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/private-jet-boom-raises-climate-concerns-2026-09-18/
• Private jets pollute up to 14 times as much as commercial planes and are undertaxed in US, report says
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/sep/18/private-jets-pollution-undertaxed
… greenwashed fuels and engines
On a planet already dangerously hot, just stopping new emissions won’t make us safe. The CO2 already in the atmosphere must also be cut. So using existing CO2 — whether in plants (biofuel), in waste, or via Direct Air Capture combined with hydrogen electrically extracted from water (e-fuels) — to create new CO2 emissions, the so called net zero, carbon neutral technologies and pathways, is totally counterproductive. As are offsets for the same reason.
‘SUSTAINABLE’ AVIATION FUELS
The aviation industry uses marketing greenwash and accounting tricks to mislead you into thinking that actual flight emissions from ‘Sustainable’ Aviation Fuel (SAF) are a fraction of those from fossil jet fuel. A jet never burns pure SAF, so a common 50:50 blend with fossil jet fuel doubles claimed emissions. And actual flight CO2 emissions are additionally more than claimed, by the amount of CO2 drawn down in making the fuel. Furthermore SAF still creates non-CO2 emissions twice as warming as actual flight CO2 emissions.
• Britain has a headstart in green aviation. Why risk it?
https://www.newstatesman.com/sponsored/economic-growth-sponsored/2026/09/britain-has-a-headstart-in-green-aviation-why-risk-it
• What is SAF and why does it matter to aviation?
https://aerospaceglobalnews.com/news/what-saf-why-matter
• Neste and United Airlines extended agreements for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply in the US and the Netherlands
https://www.neste.com/news/neste-and-united-airlines-extended-agreements-for-sustainable-aviation-fuel-saf-supply-in-the-us-and-the-netherlands
• Neste and United extend SAF supply agreements
https://www.traveldailynews.com/regional-news/neste-united-extend-saf-supply-agreements/
• Uniper and Arcadia eFuels sign long-term agreement to accelerate aviation decarbonization
https://www.uniper.energy/news/uniper-and-arcadia-efuels-sign-long-term-agreement-to-accelerate-aviation-decarbonization
• Production of Renewable Liquid Fuel: e-Methanol and e-SAF
https://www.unsw.edu.au/engineering/student-life/undergraduate-research-opportunities/advertised-taste-research-areas/production-of-renewable-liquid-fuel-e-methanol-and-e-saf
• Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Set to Hit US$ 84.5 Billion by 2035, Biofuel, Power-to-Liquid, Hydrogen Fuel, SAF Production, Growth in United States & Japan
https://www.openpr.com/news/4629099/sustainable-aviation-fuel-market-set-to-hit-us-84-5-billin
• Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance Members Back Next-Generation Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production with Long-Term Purchase Commitments
https://www.tradingview.com/news/prnewswire:64a2e5448b8de:0-sustainable-aviation-buyers-alliance-members-back-next-generation-sustainable-aviation-fuel-production-with-long-term-purchase-commitments/
• The Future of Fuels: Pathways to Sustainable Transportation
https://energy.mit.edu/industry-membership/engagement-opportunities/future-fuels-pathways-sustainable-transportation
• How Million Air Is Advancing a More Sustainable Future in Aviation
https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/business-aviation/2026-05-27/beyond-green-how-million-air-advancing-more-sustainable
• Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): ANAC launches public consultation following the issuance of the regulatory decree
https://www.tauilchequer.com.br/en/insights/publications/2026/09/sustainable-aviation-fuel-saf-anac-launches-public-consultation-following-the-issuance-of-the-regulatory-decree
• Alaska Air sustainability director lays out strategy for low-carbon flying at Climate Week NYC
https://www.geekwire.com/2026/alaska-air-sustainability-director-lays-out-strategy-for-low-carbon-flying-at-climate-week-nyc/
• The true cost of greener skies
https://www.pressreader.com/new-zealand/the-press/20260921/281809995804206
• Asia-Pacific region can lead efforts to tackle challenges facing aviation sector: Murali
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/transport/asia-pacific-region-can-lead-effort-to-tackle-challenges-facing-aviation-sector-murali?ref=latest-headlines
• Asia-Pacific aviation leaders agree on landmark measures to improve safety, sustainability and accountability
https://www.icao.int/news/asia-pacific-aviation-leaders-agree-landmark-measures-improve-safety-sustainability-and
• BRICS nations to deepen cooperation for sustainable transport infrastructure
https://m.economictimes.com/news/india/brics-nations-to-deepen-cooperation-for-sustainable-transport-infrastructure/articleshow/134138694.cms
• BRICS Pushes Sustainable Transport, Aviation Fuel To Cut Carbon Emissions
https://www.ndtvprofit.com/economy/brics-pushes-sustainable-transport-aviation-fuel-to-cut-carbon-emissions-12038780
• An Oil-Accumulating Yeast Could Help Make Next-Generation Aviation Fuels
https://biomassmagazine.com/articles/an-oil-accumulating-yeast-could-help-make-next-generation-aviation-fuels
• Production of Renewable Liquid Fuel: e-Methanol and e-SAF
https://www.unsw.edu.au/engineering/student-life/undergraduate-research-opportunities/advertised-taste-research-areas/production-of-renewable-liquid-fuel-e-methanol-and-e-saf
• Landfill gas and captured CO2 turned into 2.5 barrels of jet fuel by new US tech
https://interestingengineering.com/energy/landfill-gas-and-captured-co2-turned-into-2-5-barrels-of-jet-fuel-by-new-us-tech
… non-CO2 emissions
• Tackling aircraft contrails could delay climate impact of aviation by a decade
https://www.businessgreen.com/news/4536065/study-tackling-aircraft-contrails-delay-climate-impact-aviation-decade
• Tackling aircraft contrails could postpone aviation-related global warming
https://sustainabilityonline.net/news/tackling-aircraft-contrails-could-postpone-aviation-related-global-warming/
• Engineers just mapped a narrow path to greener flying
https://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2026/09/242667/
… delusional scenarios
OFFSETS & CARBON TRADING
When all sectors need to reduce their emissions to zero, the aviation industry buys/offsets the reductions of others in order to grow its own emissions. When the planet is already dangerously hot, offsets steal carbon drawdown needed to cool the planet to excuse further emissions.
• Over €400m in free EU ETS allowances given to airlines in 2025 to support SAF uptake
https://www.greenairnews.com/?p=9563
• Your future flight could cost more as new study questions airlines’ carbon credits
https://euperspectives.eu/2026/09/corsia-carbon-credits-aviation-costs-eu-study/
• Airline signs ‘world-first’ CORSIA-compliant carbon removal deal
https://carbon-pulse.com/551805/
• EU ETS Aviation Could Expand in 2029 – Here’s What Changes
https://aeroxplorer.com/articles/eu-ets-aviation-could-expand-in-2029-heres-what-changes
• €10.9bn in free EU carbon permits for airlines fuels row over emissions trading reform
https://euobserver.com/236405/e10-9bn-in-free-eu-carbon-permits-for-airlines-fuels-row-over-emissions-trading-reform/
• What the 2026 ETS review means for transport
https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/what-the-2026-ets-review-means-for-transport
• The EU’s ETS Reform and CORSIA: A 5,000km Line in the Sand — But Will It Survive Contact with the Parliament?
https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/the-eu-s-ets-reform-and-corsia-a-5-9608821/
• EU ETS expansion to some international flights undermines global aviation climate efforts, says airline body
https://carbon-pulse.com/549325/
• EU Regulation 2023/2405 on ensuring a level playing field for sustainable air transport
https://www.sustainableviews.com/policy-tracker/eu-regulation-2023-2405-on-ensuring-a-level-playing-field-for-sustainable-air-transport/
• Malaysia yet to decide on compulsory aviation carbon tax
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2026/09/07/malaysia-yet-to-decide-on-compulsory-aviation-carbon-tax
• NH Securities and Trinity Aviation Sign MOU for Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Cooperation… “Responding to Regulations”
https://ground.news/article/nh-securities-signs-domestic-and-international-carbon-emission-rights-cooperation-agreement-with-trinity-aviation
• Where are Carbon Credits Headed?
https://www.mri.co.jp/en/knowledge/article/20260925.html
NET ZERO 2050
Net zero emissions by 2050 allows ongoing emissions and subtracts from them carbon drawdown needed to cool an already dangerously hot planet.
• IATA World Sustainability Symposium to address aviation decarbonisation in Brussels
https://www.tradearabia.com/News/467371/IATA-World-Sustainability-Symposium-to-address-aviation-decarbonisation-in-Brussels
Reducing emissions
… via alternative fuels
ELECTRIC/BATTERY POWER
• Electric Aircraft Market 2026-2034: Size, Share, Growth Trends, Industry Analysis & Future Scope
https://industrytoday.co.uk/aerospace/electric-aircraft-market-2026-2034-size-share-growth-trends-industry-analysis-future-scope#google_vignette
… marginally
TICKET PRICING
• UK tourists could face flight price hikes of £150 to Spain and £400 to USA
https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/uk-tourists-could-face-flight-34623663.amp
• UN taxes should be a step too far for Canadians
https://financialpost.com/opinion/opinion-un-taxes-should-be-a-step-too-far-for-canadians
FUEL EFFICIENCY
• Cathay Pacific, Google scale up AI tests to reduce aviation’s climate impact
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/transport/article/3366654/cathay-pacific-google-scale-ai-tests-reduce-aviations-climate-impact
• Airbus A350F freighter successfully performs its maiden flight
https://www.airbus.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2026-09-airbus-a350f-freighter-successfully-performs-its-maiden-flight
Counting emissions
• This New Flight Booking Site Shows You the Climate Impact of Your Trip—and Lets You Pay for Cleaner Aviation Fuel
https://www.travelandleisure.com/bookbetter-environmentally-friendly-travel-booking-platform-exclusive-12075513
The climate emergency
• World to exceed 1.5°C rise in ‘next few years’: UN
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2872425-world-to-exceed-1.5degc-rise-in-next-few-years-un
• Six of the 16 major emitters reduced their emissions in 2025
https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/six-16-major-emitters-reduced-their-emissions-2025-2026-09-07_en
• Global GHG emissions reached fresh high in 2025
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2875017-global-ghg-emissions-reached-fresh-high-in-2025-report
