Ongoing emissions from
… aviation expansion
DODGING TARGETS
• IATA sounds the alarm on the growth of sustainability in aviation
https://livefromalounge.com/sustainable-aviation-floundering/
• Key climate target of airline decarbonisation ‘in peril’: IATA
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250601-key-climate-target-of-airline-decarbonisation-in-peril-iata
• Policy Shortcomings Puts SAF Production at Risk
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-06-01-02/
• Aviation sector’s climate claims unsupported by credible transition plans
https://carbontracker.org/aviation-sectors-climate-claims-unsupported-by-credible-transition-plans/
• Turbulence ahead: How used cooking oil could hinder aviation’s green fuel hopes
https://www.straitstimes.com/world/turbulence-ahead-how-used-cooking-oil-could-hinder-aviations-green-fuel-hopes
• Teaming up with organizations for sustainable fuel
https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/story/sustainable-aviation-fuel-agreements.html
• Is the world’s big idea for greener air travel a flight of fancy?
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2025/06/18/is-the-worlds-big-idea-for-greener-air-travel-a-flight-of-fancy/
• Europe risks losing its early e-fuels lead for aviation, study warns
https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/europe-risks-losing-its-early-e-fuels-lead-for-aviation-study-warns
PRIVATE JETS
• Private jet use is soaring — and the US is responsible for the most flights
https://www.fastcompany.com/91360029/private-jet-use-is-soaring-and-the-u-s-is-responsible-for-the-most-flights
• Air and greenhouse gas pollution from private jets, 2023
https://theicct.org/publication/air-and-ghg-pollution-from-private-jets-2023-jun25/
• Aircraft from the US accounted for 65% of global private jet flights, 55% of those gas emissions
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/aircraft-from-the-us-accounted-for-65-of-global-private-jet-flights-55-of-those-gas-emissions/3AKKF3Z675GVRC44KNIB3PLHBI/
AIRPORTS
• Sydney’s second airport is nearly built. But will the airlines and people come?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jun/09/sydneys-second-airport-is-nearly-built-but-will-the-airlines-and-people-come
… greenwashed fuels and engines
‘SUSTAINABLE’ AVIATION FUELS
The aviation industry uses marketing greenwash and accounting tricks to mislead you into thinking that actual flight emissions from ‘Sustainable’ Aviation Fuel (SAF) are a fraction of those from fossil jet fuel. A jet never burns pure SAF, so a common 50:50 blend with fossil jet fuel doubles claimed emissions. And actual flight CO2 emissions are additionally more than claimed, by the amount of CO2 drawn down in making the fuel. Furthermore SAF still creates non-CO2 emissions twice as warming as actual flight CO2 emissions.
• British Airways to Reduce Emissions by 400,000 Tonnes Through New SAF Purchase Deal
https://www.esgtoday.com/british-airways-signs-sustainable-aviation-fuel-deal-to-reduce-emissions-by-400000-tonnes/
• What Is The GREET Model For Sustainable Aviation Fuel?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kizubOroFtU
• Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Revolutionizing Air Freight For A Greener Future
https://www.freightamigo.com/blog/sustainable-aviation-fuel-revolutionizing-air-freight-for-a-greener-future/
• China’s SAF industry poised to be a transformative force in aviation’s low-carbon future
https://www.greenairnews.com/?p=7427
• Marubeni and HIS Collaborate to Reduce CO2 Emissions from Air Travel: Launch of a Tour in Spain Utilizing SAF’s CO2 Reduction Attributes
https://www.marubeni.com/en/news/2025/info/00029.html
• Sustainable or unsustainable? BC’s SAF mandate faces global headwinds
https://resourceworks.com/doubling-down-on-sustainable-aviation-fuel-is-the-wrong-move-at-the-wrong-time/
• Sustainable aviation fuel: what does it mean for airport expansion?
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/publications/background-briefings/sustainable-aviation-fuel-what-does-it-mean-for-airport-expansion/
• Climate change sceptics and clean fuel shortage risk airline industry’s decarbonisation target
https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/aviation/2025/06/08/climate-change-sceptics-and-saf-shortage-risk-airline-industrys-decarbonisation-target/
• Airbus’ commitment to sustainable aviation fuel
https://www.airbus.com/en/innovation/energy-transition/our-commitment-to-saf
• The Airbus Guide to Sustainable Aviation Fuel
https://sustainabilitymag.com/articles/the-airbus-guide-to-sustainable-aviation-fuel
• EU to subsidise high volume of greener aviation fuel to boost airline demand
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/eu-susbsidise-high-volume-greener-aviation-fuel-boost-airline-demand-2025-06-11/
• EU to Subsidize Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) to Boost Airline Demand
https://www.travelandtourworld.com/news/article/eu-to-subsidize-sustainable-aviation-fuel-saf-to-boost-airline-demand/
• Overview of combustion and emission characteristics of sustainable aviation fuels and standard JET A-1 fuel
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016236125017363
• Pioneering Green Aviation: How BIAL Achieved Net Zero Emissions Ahead of Schedule
https://thecsruniverse.com/articles/pioneering-green-aviation-how-bial-achieved-net-zero-emissions-ahead-of-schedule
• Greening the Aviation: Lufthansa and Airbus Team Up to Cut Business Travel Emissions Using SAF
https://carboncredits.com/greening-the-aviation-lufthansa-and-airbus-team-up-to-cut-business-travel-emissions-using-saf/
• Developing a Supply Chain Model for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Using Logging Residues in Georgia, United States
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4739842
• Sustainable Aviation Fuel — A Path to Decarbonizing Global Aviation
https://ijrpr.com/uploads/V6ISSUE6/IJRPR48842.pdf
• Plan to manufacture aviation fuel from Australian canola well underway
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06-16/fuelling-jets-low-carbon-canola-fuel-australia/105406104
• What you need to know about Sustainable Aviation Fuel
https://infoamazonia.org/en/2025/06/18/what-you-need-to-know-about-sustainable-aviation-fuel-saf/
• Teaming up with organizations for sustainable fuel
https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/story/sustainable-aviation-fuel-agreements.html
• New incentives for clean aviation, heavy-duty trucking proposed in updates to Clean Fuel Standard
https://ecology.wa.gov/about-us/who-we-are/news/2025/june-16-new-incentives-for-clean-aviation-heavy-duty-trucking-proposed-in-updates-to-clean-fuel-s
• Amazon Flies Greener to Net Zero with 9M Liters of Sustainable Fuel from Neste
https://carboncredits.com/amazon-flies-greener-with-9m-liters-of-sustainable-fuel-from-neste-for-net-zero/
• Qantas, Sydney Airport and energy supplier Ampol secure Australia’s largest import of SAF
https://www.greenairnews.com/?p=7485
• The future of aviation fuel: Viva Energy’s role in sustainable aviation
https://islandsbusiness.com/partner-advertorials/the-future-of-aviation-fuel-viva-energys-role-in-sustainable-aviation/
• Insets more effective than offsets to decarbonise heavy emitters, says SAF developer
https://carbon-pulse.com/403623/
E-FUELS
• Brine and seawater-based carbon removal initiative for neutralizing aviation and maritime shipping emissions. a water optimization pathway for renewable keystone solutions
https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101218440
• Analytics-driven Insights into the E-Methanol Fuel for Aviation Market: Revenue and Growth Forecast with Growing CAGR 10.7% for 2025-2032
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/analytics-driven-insights-e-methanol-fuel-aviation-market-yyfde
HYDROGEN
Hydrogen-powered aircraft will not have zero emissions, even if hydrogen is produced from renewable electricity, because it will still emit NOx and generate contrail cirrus that have a higher climate impact than CO2 today. The deployment of “green” hydrogen in aviation would require huge quantities of renewable electricity, which would deprive other sectors needing to decarbonise. Hydrogen will not be viable for medium and long-haul flights before 2050, much too late to tackle the climate emergency.
• How Hydrogen Can Lower Carbon Emissions and Pollution in Aviation
https://www.law.berkeley.edu/spotlight/clee-report-hydrogen-can-lower-carbon-emissions-and-pollution-in-aviation/
… non-CO2 emissions
CONTRAILS
• The impact of fossil jet fuel emissions at altitude on climate change: A life cycle assessment study of a long-haul flight at different time horizons
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1352231023004090
• Differential models for radiative heat transfer in scattering media: applications in aerospace engineering
https://www.academia.edu/2994-7065/1/3/10.20935/AcadEng7322
… delusional scenarios
FISCAL MEASURES
• Modernising the air transport tax system
https://neweconomics.org/2025/05/flying-fair
• Flight tax could raise €100bn to tackle climate crisis, study finds
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jun/19/flight-tax-climate-crisis-airline-tickets-levy-environment
• The possible end of the Green Claims Directive: Is it all Greenwashing now?
https://www.twobirds.com/en/insights/2025/the-possible-end-of-the-green-claims-directive–is-it-all-greenwashing-now
• How Does Carbon Pricing Affect Aviation Fuel?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N6TRpBlkWvA
• How flying can be a climate solution
https://www.carbonnews.co.nz/news/34693/how-flying-can-be-a-climate-solution
• NZ will join aviation emissions agreement
https://www.carbonnews.co.nz/news/11116/nz-will-join-aviation-emissions-agreement
TECH FIXES
• Otto Aviation aims to beat carbon neutrality goal by 20 years
https://www.aerospacemanufacturinganddesign.com/news/otto-aviation-aims-to-beat-carbon-neutrality-goal-20-years/
• Operational Improvements to Reduce the Climate Impact of Aviation—A Comparative Study from EU Project ClimOP
https://www.academia.edu/107524824/Operational_Improvements_to_Reduce_the_Climate_Impact_of_Aviation_A_Comparative_Study_from_EU_Project_ClimOP
FUEL EFFICIENCY
• Wizz Air Cuts Emissions Per Passenger, But Climate Impact Is Rising
https://skift.com/2025/06/19/wizz-air-cuts-emissions-per-passenger-but-climate-impact-is-rising/
• Are More Fuel-Efficient Aircraft Increasing Global Warming?
https://simpleflying.com/fuel-efficient-aircraft-linked-global-warming/
• Singapore Airlines’ Emissions Rise, Climate Rules Threaten Higher Costs
https://skift.com/2025/06/27/singapore-airlines-emissions-rise-climate-rules-threaten-higher-costs/
OFFSETS
When all sectors need to reduce their emissions to zero, the aviation industry buys/offsets the reductions of others in order to grow its own emissions. When the planet is already dangerously hot, offsets steal carbon drawdown needed to cool the planet to excuse further emissions.
• Jetstar Voluntary Carbon Program
https://www.jetstar.com/au/en/about-us/community-and-environment/voluntary-carbon-program
Reducing emissions
… with alternative fuels
ELECTRIC FLIGHT
• Electrifying Flight: Electric Aircraft Technology Takes Off—And Lands
https://eepower.com/tech-insights/electrifying-flight-electric-aircraft-technology-takes-offand-lands/
• Dovetail Electric Aviation – Fast-Tracking Zero Emissions for Commercial Aviation
https://business.gov.au/grants-and-programs/cooperative-research-centres-projects-crcp-grants/customer-stories/dovetail-electric-aviation
… public awareness
PROTEST
• Barcelona Airport Struggle: Decades of building broad alliances
https://stay-grounded.org/barcelona-airport-struggle-decades-of-building-broad-alliances/
… with alternate travel modes
RAIL
• Australian high-speed rail has barely left the station – some experts say a new US project shows a better way
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jun/02/australian-high-speed-rail-newcastle-sydney-los-angeles-las-vegas
Counting emissions
• IATA CO2 Connect Integrated into the Amadeus Travel Platform
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-06-03-02/
• Atlas Air Worldwide Joins IATA CO2 Connect, Empowering Emissions Data Decision Making
https://www.atlasairworldwide.com/2025/06/atlas-air-worldwide-joins-iata-co2-connect-empowering-emissions-data-decision-making/
Climate impacts on aviation
AIR TURBULENCE
• A systematic review of adaption to climate change impacts in the aviation sector
https://www.sciencedirect.com/org/science/article/pii/S0144164723000818
• Severe turbulence ahead — how scientists can keep air travellers safe in a warming world
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-02315-7
• Aviation Turbulence: Dynamics, Forecasting, and Response to Climate Change
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00024-018-1822-0
Climate emergency
• How bad can climate damage get? Worse than you imagine
https://www.climatecodered.org/2025/06/how-bad-can-climate-damage-get-worse.html
• Warming of +1.5 °C is too high for polar ice sheets
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02299-w
• Global Warming has Accelerated Significantly
https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-6079807/v1
• Global Warming is Accelerating and Tracking at Worst-Case Scenarios
https://www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/global-warming-is-accelerating-and-tracking-at-worst-case-scenarios
• World’s farmers won’t be able to keep up with climate change
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2484712-worlds-farmers-wont-be-able-to-keep-up-with-climate-change/
• In the dark: Australia ill-prepared for climate punch
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8992043/in-the-dark-australia-ill-prepared-for-climate-punch/